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喜马拉雅中部阿润河谷高山环境下的冰湖溃决洪水研究

发布时间:2023-04-02 18:33
  冰川湖泊溃决洪水(GLOF)是一种被研究人员广泛认识的自然灾害,其爆发后的巨大破坏能力对自然生态环境和人造基础设施安全等都构成严重威胁。因此,进行GLOF风险评估是非常必要的,特别是在有水电站的流域内,如果不进行GLOF风险评估,可能会造成巨大的社会经济损失。此外,还需要综合汇编水文、地质、地貌和气候数据,以便对水电站等重要项目进行可行性研究和设计研究。值得注意的是,文献中已有很多方法可用于评估冰湖溃决洪水。这些方法通过方法构造的类型、评价特征的数量和选择、评价过程中所需的输入数据和主观性比率来区分,有些是适应环境设计的,有些是设计来适应的。评价程序对输入数据的要求和主观性的要求通常被认为是其重复使用的根本障碍。最近的一项研究考察了这些方法在高山环境中的适用性。结果表明,所采用的方法均不满足所有规定的标准,且需要耗费大量的人力、时间和成本,因此,需要一种新的方法来适用于高山环境中水电项目安全性评估。此外,由于现有的GLOF风险评估方法的主客观局限性,我们提出了一种新的、易于应用的基于历史冰湖溃决洪水流量和影响规模的四步筛选方法,应用范围更广,不需要根据主题区域进行适应变化,这也允许成本...

【文章页数】:219 页

【学位级别】:博士

【文章目录】:
摘要
ABSTRACT
Chapter1 Introduction
    1.1 Background and Significance
    1.2 Study Area
        1.2.1 Justification of Site Selection
        1.2.2 Justification and Aims of the Work in Arun
    1.3 Research Gap and Problem Statement
    1.4 Novelty
    1.5 Scope and Objectives
        1.5.1 Main Objectives
        1.5.2 Sub Objectives
    1.6 Research Outline
Chapter2 Literature Review
    2.1 GLOFs in the Context of High Mountain Environments
    2.2 Previous research and existing methods for assessing the susceptibility of glacial lakes to outburst floods
        2.2.1 The Qualitative Approach
        2.2.2 The Semi-Quantitative Approach
        2.2.3 The Quantitative Approach
    2.3 Flood Risk Management
    2.4 Previous studies related to UAHEP
        2.4.1 General
        2.4.2 Feasibility Study Phase I in1987
        2.4.3 Feasibility Study(1991)
        2.4.4 Feasibility Review Study(2011)
    2.5 Drawbacks and Limitations of Existing Methods and Database
Chapter3 Materials and Research Methodology
    3.1 Introduction
    3.2 Data Collection
        3.2.1 Hydrological and Meteorological Data
        3.2.2 Weather Data
        3.2.3 Remote Sensing Data
    3.3 Field Survey
    3.4 Estimation of Probable Maximum Flood
        3.4.1 Selection of Model
        3.4.2 Model Simulation
    3.5 Establishment of Glacier and Glacial Lake Databases
    3.6 The New Model for GLOF Risk Assessment
    3.7 GLOF Hydrological Evolution
        3.7.1 Approaches followed for GLOF Modeling
Chapter4 Data Information System for Arun Valley
    4.1 Regional Overview
        4.1.1 Location& Access
    4.2 Geological and Geomorphological Study
        4.2.1 Regional Geology
        4.2.2 Geology of the Reservoir
        4.2.3 Geological Risk
        4.2.4 Land Cover
        4.2.5 Slope Characteristics and Steepness Factor
        4.2.6 Soil Erosion Processes
    4.3 Hydrological Study related to GLOFs
        4.3.1 River Systems
        4.3.2 Drainage Characteristics
        4.3.3 Results of Runoff Study
        4.3.4 Results of Flood Study
    4.4 Climatic Correlation with GLOFs
        4.4.1 Introduction
        4.4.2 Location Specific Details
        4.4.3 Climatic Correlation with GLOFs
    4.5 Natural Hazards in Arun Basin
        4.5.1 Landslides in Arun River Basin
        4.5.2 Fires Incidents in Arun Basin
        4.5.3 Earthquakes in Arun Basin
        4.5.4 GLOFs in the Arun River Basin
    4.6 The Distribution and Quantification of Glaciers and Glacial Lakes in Arun Valley
Chapter5 The New Model for GLOF Risk Assessment
    5.1 The New Model
        5.1.1 Justification for the Assumed Depth of the Lakes
    5.2 Determination of the Critical Lakes using the New Model
        5.2.1 Multi-criterion outburst probability and failure mechanisms of the glacial lakes
        5.2.2 Preliminary Discharge Profiles and Outburst Probability of the Critical Lakes
    5.3 GLOF Modeling and Simulation of GLOFs in the Upstream of Arun River
        5.3.1 The Two Critical Lakes
        5.3.2 GLOF Modelling
    5.4 Suggested Mitigation for the potential GLOF from the two critical lakes
Chapter6 Conclusions and Recommendations
    6.1 Summary,Comparison and Contribution of the novel method
        6.1.1 Comparison with the State of the Art
    6.2 Conclusion of the Data Information System
    6.3 Discussion and Limitations in Relation to the Novel Model
    6.4 Recommendations and Way Forward
References
Appendix1 中文简本
Appendix2 List of Figures
Appendix3 List of Tables
Acknowledgements
CV of author and Research Contribution



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